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Kent State Favored Over Sacramento State in First-Ever MAC Matchup

Kent State Favored Over Sacramento State in First-Ever MAC Matchup
World Sports · 05:59:19 - Sunday, 1 November 2026

Kent State Golden Flashes will face Sacramento State Hornets in the first-ever meeting between the programs on Friday night at Hornet Stadium in Sacramento, California. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET.

Team Records and Recent Form

Sacramento State, in its first year at the FBS level, enters with a 1-7 overall record and 0-5 in the Mid-American Conference, having lost six consecutive games. The Hornets most recently fell 34-17 to Ball State. Kent State holds a 3-5 overall record and 2-2 in MAC play, having snapped a three-game losing streak with a 35-20 victory over Akron in Week 8.

Betting Odds and Predictions

The Golden Flashes are 7-point favorites, with an over/under of 46.5 points. Kent State is listed at -278 on the money line, while Sacramento State sits at +225. According to the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulated the game 10,000 times, the over on 46.5 points is the recommended play, hitting in 63% of simulations. The model projects a combined 51 points, citing both teams' defensive struggles: Kent State ranks 115th in FBS scoring defense, while Sacramento State ranks 127th. The Hornets have generated few turnovers, and Kent State allows a 67.4% completion percentage, the eighth-highest in the nation. The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in nearly 70% of simulations.

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