Miami Hurricanes (7-0, 5-0 ACC) ranked No. 1 host North Carolina Tar Heels (4-3, 2-2 ACC) at Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill, N.C., kickoff 7:30 p.m. ET. Bill Belichick faces a No. 1 ranked team for the first time in his college coaching career.
Miami is a 14-point favorite with an over/under of 53.5 points. The Hurricanes have won 11 straight regular-season games, most recently a 53-23 victory over Pitt. UNC matched last season's win total but fell 31-30 in overtime to Syracuse.
Betting trends show Miami 5-2 against the spread and UNC 4-3. The SportsLine Projection Model favors the Under 53.5 points, hitting in 53% of simulations. Miami's defense ranks 11th nationally, allowing just 2.4 yards per rush, while UNC's offense ranks 112th in total offense. The Tar Heels' defense has held back-to-back opponents under 60% completion percentage and averages the fourth fewest penalties per game in college football.
Miami quarterback Darian Mensah, averaging over three passing touchdowns per game, is projected to be held under two passing scores. The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in over 60% of simulations. SportsLine's model entered Week 9 on a 68-59 run on top-rated college football picks.
