Five NFL favorites of -6 or more highlight the Week 8 betting slate, but historical trends suggest backing the underdogs. Favorites of -6 or more are just 8-21-3 against the spread (ATS) this season, covering only 27.5% of the time. The games meeting that threshold are Jaguars (-10) vs. Colts, Cowboys (-7) vs. Cardinals, Bengals (-12.5) vs. Titans, Rams (-6.5) vs. Chargers, and Patriots (-7) vs. Dolphins.
Chiefs-Broncos Under Trend Continues
The Over has failed to hit in each of the last seven Chiefs vs. Broncos matchups. Kansas City is favored by 1.5 points with a total of 40.5 for their Week 8 meeting.
SportsLine Model Parlay and DFS Picks
SportsLine's model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has built a five-team parlay paying around 25-1. One leg backs Over 46.5 points in Jaguars vs. Colts, with the model forecasting 56 combined points and a 66% hit rate. For the main Sunday DFS slate, the optimizer highlights Cowboys RB Javonte Williams and Bengals WR Tee Higgins among its top picks.
Fantasy Football Rankings
The model projects Jaguars tight end Brenton Strange as a top-8 fantasy option at his position for Week 8, with full positional rankings available.
Expert Picks for Key Games
Larry Harstein (7-2 ATS over his last nine picks) backs the Lions (-3.5) to cover against the Vikings, citing Brian Branch's return and Aaron Jones' knee injury. Emory Hunt (31-18-2 on Eagles picks) favors the Commanders (-6.5) over the Eagles, noting Philadelphia's offensive injuries including Jalen Hurts (blood clots) and DeVonta Smith (hamstring). R.J. White, SportsLine's top NFL expert, supports the Seahawks (-3) versus the Bears, pointing to Seattle's elite pass defense and Chicago's league-worst 6.3 yards per play allowed.
