The Kansas City Chiefs, coming off their first loss of the season, travel to face the Denver Broncos in an NFL Week 8 rematch of their Week 1 meeting. The Chiefs remain atop the AFC West, but the Broncos have won three straight games and five of their last six since that opening-week defeat.
Odds and Betting Lines
DraftKings Sportsbook lists the Chiefs as 1.5-point favorites. The money line sits at Chiefs -112 and Broncos -108, while the over/under is set at 41.5 points (Over -110, Under -110). The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each game 10,000 times, entered Week 8 on a 58-51 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024 and has returned more than $5,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception.
Chiefs' Offensive Struggles
Kansas City's offense stalled in a Week 7 loss to the Seattle Seahawks, failing to score a touchdown and, for the first time under quarterback Patrick Mahomes, failing to snap the ball inside the red zone. Mahomes has completed less than 60% of his passes in three games this season and has not thrown a touchdown pass in his last two outings. Lingering effects from his ACL injury may be a factor, and the Chiefs need Mahomes to rediscover his MVP form to remain a serious threat.
Broncos' Resurgence
Denver was routed 31-10 in Week 1 but has since won three consecutive games. Quarterback Bo Nix has not thrown an interception in four straight games, and the Broncos' defense has allowed just 15.7 points per game over that span, including an overtime victory over the Seahawks.
Model Predictions and Best Bets
The SportsLine model favors Denver on the money line, with the Broncos winning in 50% of simulations. However, the model's top play is the under on 40.5 points, which hits in 55% of simulations. Both defenses are playing well — Kansas City ranks second in points allowed per game — and inconsistent quarterback play combined with divisional familiarity points toward a low-scoring contest.
