The top-ranked Miami Hurricanes travel to Notre Dame Stadium to face the No. 11 Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Saturday in a matchup with significant College Football Playoff implications. Miami (8-0, 6-0 ACC) enters as one of three remaining unbeaten Power 4 teams and is 4-0 on the road this season. Notre Dame (7-1) is 3-0 at home but 0-1 against ranked opponents this year.
Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET in Notre Dame, Ind. The Fighting Irish opened as 5.5-point favorites and have moved to -7 in the latest odds, with the over/under at 54.5 points. Miami wide receiver Malachi Toney (ankle) is out for the game, a factor cited in the line movement.
The SportsLine Projection Model, after simulating the game 10,000 times, projects the Under 54.5 points as the value side, hitting 58% of the time. The Under has cashed in three of the last five head-to-head meetings and in Notre Dame's last game. The Fighting Irish allow 13.4 points per game (tied for fifth nationally), while Miami allows 17.8 (21st). The model projects Miami quarterback Darian Mensah to throw for over 260 yards and two touchdowns (2,425 yards, 25 TDs, 1 INT season), and Notre Dame quarterback C.J. Carr to throw for nearly 250 yards and two touchdowns (1,849 yards, 18 TDs, 1 INT season). The computer forecasts 51 combined points.
Beyond the total, the model identifies one side of the spread as the better value, available exclusively at SportsLine. The model entered Week 10 on an 80-77 run on top-rated college football picks.
