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NFL Week 9 Betting Model Projects Near +3000 Parlay Payout

NFL Week 9 Betting Model Projects Near +3000 Parlay Payout
Other Sports · 06:04:05 - Monday, 9 November 2026

The Minnesota Vikings, the NFL's last unbeaten team, enter Week 9 as 3-point home underdogs against the AFC East-leading Buffalo Bills on Monday Night Football. Meanwhile, the 6-1 San Francisco 49ers host the Las Vegas Raiders as 10-point favorites. In the NFC West, the Arizona Cardinals face the Seattle Seahawks with the line shifting after quarterback Sam Darnold was ruled out with a quad injury. Arizona, coming off a 33-30 overtime win over Dallas, will start Gardner Minshew following the trade of Jacoby Brissett to Baltimore. Running back Tyler Allgeier leads the Cardinals' ground attack with 323 yards and two touchdowns on 72 carries, including a 147-yard, one-score performance against the Cowboys. Tight end Trey McBride tops the receiving corps with 66 catches for 544 yards and five touchdowns.

Model Highlights Over in Cardinals-Seahawks

SportsLine's computer model, which simulates each game 10,000 times and has returned over $5,000 for $100 players on top-rated picks since inception, entered Week 9 on a 60-51 run dating back to 2024. The model's top play is the Over 39.5 points in Cardinals vs. Seahawks, hitting in 76% of simulations. The Over has cashed in six of Arizona's last 10 games and three of Seattle's last five. Seattle ranks 11th in scoring at 24.0 points per game; Arizona averages 21.9. Despite Darnold's absence, backup Drew Lock — who threw for 31 points in his previous start — has top target Jaxon Smith-Njigba (64 receptions, 985 yards, 9 touchdowns). The model also identifies four other matchups where the spread is significantly off, including picks hitting over 50% of simulations. A five-leg parlay of the model's best bets offers a potential payout near +3000.

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