James Madison (7-2) visits Southern Miss (3-5) on Thursday night for a Sun Belt Conference matchup at Carlisle-Faulkner Field in Hattiesburg, Mississippi. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET.
The Dukes enter as 13.5-point road favorites with an over/under of 57.5 points. James Madison is 6-3 against the spread this season, while Southern Miss is 4-4.
A projection model simulating the game 10,000 times leans toward the over, citing that the over has hit in 10 of 17 combined team games this season, including the last two for Southern Miss and three of the last four for James Madison.
The model projects James Madison quarterback JC Evans to throw for 255 yards and 1.7 touchdowns, while running back George Pettaway is expected to rush for 124 yards and 1.19 touchdowns. The model forecasts a combined 58 points.
The model also indicates one side of the spread covers in more than 50% of simulations. The model has posted an 80-77 record on top-rated college football picks this season.
