The Las Vegas Raiders will look to end a four-game losing streak when they visit the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, on Sunday with a 1 p.m. ET kickoff. The Jets have dropped two consecutive games, including a 28-25 loss to the Miami Dolphins last week.
Prediction markets on Kalshi show the Raiders as slight favorites to win at $0.51 per share (51% probability), while the Jets are at $0.50 (50%). The market for the Raiders winning by more than 1.5 points is priced at $0.48 for "Yes" and $0.53 for "No." The over/under for total points is set at 44.5, with "Over" at $0.51 and "Under" at $0.52.
Las Vegas quarterback Kirk Cousins has thrown for at least 240 yards in each of the past five games, and the Raiders offense ranks sixth in scoring at 26.1 points per game. However, the defense has allowed nearly 36 points per game during the losing streak and ranks 30th against the run. The Jets defense ranks fifth in passing yards allowed (187.7 per game) and has recorded 19 sacks and eight takeaways, with rookie David Bailey leading the team with 5.5 sacks.
New York quarterback Geno Smith has completed 70% of his passes for 1,621 yards, 10 touchdowns, and two interceptions. Receiver Garrett Wilson has 444 receiving yards and three touchdowns, while running back Braelon Allen has 295 total yards and four scores. The Jets average less than 100 rushing yards per game.
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each game 10,000 times, gives the Jets a 59% win probability and projects a New York victory by five points. The model also projects the teams to combine for nearly 50 points, with a 57% chance of exceeding 44.5 total points.
Both teams have faced tough schedules: the Raiders have played Kansas City, New England, Buffalo, and the Rams during their slide, while the Jets have losses to Green Bay, Detroit, Chicago, and Miami. Las Vegas lost by three points to both the Chiefs and Bills.
