The Minnesota Vikings, the NFL's last unbeaten team, enter Week 9 as 3-point home underdogs against the AFC East-leading Buffalo Bills on Monday Night Football. Meanwhile, the 6-1 San Francisco 49ers host the Las Vegas Raiders as 10-point favorites, and the Arizona Cardinals visit the Seattle Seahawks in an NFC West clash where the line has shifted after quarterback Sam Darnold was ruled out with a quad injury.
Gardner Minshew will start for Arizona after the Cardinals rallied from 14 points down to defeat the Dallas Cowboys 33-30 in overtime in Week 8. Running back Tyler Allgeier leads Arizona's ground game with 323 yards and two touchdowns on 72 carries, including a 147-yard, one-touchdown performance at Dallas. Tight end Trey McBride tops the receiving charts with 66 catches for 544 yards and five touchdowns.
Seattle's offense, ranked 11th in scoring at 24.0 points per game, will turn to Drew Lock in Darnold's absence. Lock previously guided the Seahawks to 31 points in a start this season and can rely on wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who has 64 receptions for 985 yards and nine touchdowns. Arizona averages 21.9 points per game, ranking 21st in the league.
SportsLine's computer model, which simulates each game 10,000 times, projects the Over 39.5 in the Cardinals-Seahawks matchup, hitting in 76% of simulations. The Over has cashed in six of Arizona's last 10 games and three of Seattle's last five. The model entered Week 9 on a 60-51 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024, showing a profit of more than $5,000 for $100 players since inception.
In addition to the Cardinals-Seahawks Over, the model has identified four other Week 9 matchups where it believes the line is significantly off, including multiple spread picks hitting well over 50% of the time. A successful parlay of the model's five best bets would return nearly +3000. Other notable Week 9 games include the Los Angeles Rams vs. Washington Commanders (+4.5), Houston Texans vs. Los Angeles Chargers (+5.5), and Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Chicago Bears (-6) on Sunday Night Football. The Chargers have lost 10 consecutive games dating back to last season.
