The Los Angeles Lakers and Atlanta Hawks, both division leaders, meet Monday night at State Farm Arena in Atlanta. Tipoff is set for 7 p.m. ET.
The Lakers (9-2) lead the Pacific Division and are 4-1 on the road. They come off a 121-116 win at Detroit on Sunday. The Hawks (7-4) lead the Southeast Division and are 3-2 at home this season, having beaten Brooklyn 124-121 on Saturday.
Injury updates: Luka Doncic (back) missed Sunday's game but is not listed on Monday's injury report. Austin Reaves (illness) has been ruled out.
Betting odds: Hawks are 2.5-point favorites; over/under is 233.5 points. Money line: Hawks -135, Lakers +121.
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each game 10,000 times, projects the Over on the total (233.5) as the top pick. The Over has hit in eight of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, seven of the last 10 Lakers games, and each of the last two Hawks games. Los Angeles leads the NBA in scoring at 121.9 points per game; Atlanta ranks fourth at 118.6.
The model projects five Lakers players in double figures, led by Doncic with 32.3 points. Five Hawks players are projected to score over 11 points, led by Jalen Johnson with over 20 points. The model projects 239 total points, with the Over hitting in 54% of simulations.
The model also indicates one side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time. Detailed picks are available via SportsLine.
