The Orlando Magic visit the Phoenix Suns on Thursday, November 5, for one of two NBA games on the schedule. Tipoff is set for 9 p.m. ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix. Orlando enters at 2-5 after losing two straight, most recently a 103-94 defeat to Washington on Monday. Phoenix is 1-5 and on a four-game losing streak, having fallen 132-119 to Portland on Wednesday in the first half of a back-to-back.
The Magic have won four of the last five meetings between the teams. Last season the pair split their two-game series, with the home team winning each contest. Phoenix is a 1.5-point favorite, and the over/under is 222.5 points. The Suns have failed to cover the spread in all six games this season, while Orlando is 2-5 against the spread.
A projection model that simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has shown a 26-11 (70%) record on top-rated spread picks entering Week 3 of the 2026-27 season leans toward the over on the total. The over has hit in eight of the last 13 combined games for the two teams, and each of their last three head-to-head matchups has exceeded 222.5 points. Phoenix has seen the over hit in its last five games, while Orlando's last two road games have also gone over. Dating back to last season, the over has cashed in 57% of Orlando's games versus Eastern Conference opponents.
The model projects Devin Booker as the game's leading scorer with 25 points, and forecasts six Magic players reaching double figures compared to four for the Suns. The simulation yields an average of 228 total points, with the over hitting in 55% of runs. The model also indicates one side of the spread holds all the value, though the specific pick is not detailed here.
