The New York Giants aim to extend their NFC East lead when they host the Washington Commanders on Thursday Night Football at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET.
Washington enters at 2-5-1 and has lost all three road games this season, while New York sits at 5-2-1 with a 3-1 home record in 2026. The Commanders have won four of the last five meetings, with one tie.
Giants quarterback J.J. McCarthy (hip) and running back Cam Skattebo (hamstring) were full participants at practice on Tuesday after being limited Monday.
Current betting lines list New York as a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 40.5 points, down from an opening 44.5. The under has covered in seven of the last nine matchups in New York.
SportsLine's simulation model, which has returned over $5,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since 2024, leans toward the over 40.5 points, hitting in 66% of 10,000 simulations. The over has cashed in three of the last four head-to-head games, six of Washington's last ten, and seven of New York's last ten.
Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels has completed 63.9% of his passes for 1,250 yards, seven touchdowns, and zero interceptions in six starts, adding 252 rushing yards and two scores. Giants quarterback J.J. McCarthy, acquired via trade this season, has completed 63.2% for 622 yards, one touchdown, and one interception in four games, with 51 rushing yards.
The model projects 50 combined points and indicates one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. Detailed picks are available at SportsLine.
