The Memphis Grizzlies (7-3) host the Denver Nuggets (5-4) on Wednesday at FedExForum with tipoff set for 8 p.m. ET. Denver enters as a 3.5-point favorite with the over/under set at 227.5 points, while Nikola Jokic is priced at +144 to record a triple-double.
Team Form and Key Performances
Both teams played on Monday. The Grizzlies defeated the Toronto Raptors 118-102, improving to 5-0 on the road but just 2-3 at home. Ty Jerome led Memphis with 27 points on five 3-pointers, while rookie Cameron Boozer added 22 points and eight assists and Jerami Grant contributed 17 off the bench. The Nuggets fell 110-100 to the Houston Rockets despite 38 points from Jamal Murray and 25 points, 16 rebounds and nine assists from Jokic. Denver's supporting cast combined for only 37 points and the team lost the second-chance battle 24-11, a concern against a Memphis frontcourt featuring Zach Edey.
Betting Preview and Picks
SportsLine's model projects a 122-116 Nuggets victory, giving Denver -3.5 a 54% cover probability and the over 227.5 a 62.2% hit rate. The model's top plays are Nuggets -3.5 (-104) and Over 227.5 (-112). Memphis averages 117.9 points per game and scored 29 fourth-quarter points against Toronto, while Denver averages 113.6 points but managed only 100 in Houston. The Grizzlies allow 110.8 points per game, but the projected total of 238 points supports the over.
