The College Football Playoff committee released its latest bracket Tuesday, showing 12 teams in control of their postseason fate. CBS Sports projections indicate several bracket teams will lose at least one game, while five teams left out still have at least a 20% chance to make the playoff: Wake Forest (75.3%), Texas Tech (48.4%), Ohio State (36.7%), Oregon (25.8%), and LSU (20.6%). The SEC could produce a logjam of three-loss teams, potentially benefiting Wake Forest and Texas Tech.
12. Boise State
Projected remaining record: 3-0. Wins predicted against Oregon State, San Diego State, and a projected Flex game opponent (likely Utah State, already beaten by 19 points).
11. Kentucky
Projected remaining record: 2-1. Wins over Florida and Louisville, loss at No. 22 Missouri. Kentucky must win out to stay in the field; Missouri's passing attack is seen as a major threat.
10. BYU
Projected remaining record: 3-0. Home wins over Baylor and Cincinnati, road win at Kansas. BYU's home advantage and Kansas' inconsistency support the sweep.
9. Indiana
Projected remaining record: 3-0. Wins over No. 18 USC, at Washington, and vs. Purdue. Indiana's defense expected to overwhelm opponents despite offensive questions.
8. Tennessee
Projected remaining record: 2-1. Win at Texas A&M, loss vs. No. 21 LSU, win at Vanderbilt. Tennessee's road struggles make the LSU matchup in Neyland Stadium a likely loss.
7. Miami
Projected remaining record: 3-0. Home wins over Duke, Virginia Tech, and Boston College. Favorable schedule with heavy favorites in each game.
6. Texas
Projected remaining record: 2-1. Loss at No. 21 LSU, wins vs. Arkansas and at Texas A&M. Texas faces a desperate LSU team in Death Valley, but rebounds against Arkansas and a potentially struggling Texas A&M.
5. Notre Dame
Projected remaining record: 3-0. Wins over Boston College, SMU, and at Syracuse. Only SMU poses a real threat, requiring a career game from Kevin Jennings.
4. UCLA
Projected remaining record: 2-1. Wins vs. Illinois and No. 18 USC, loss at Michigan. Travel, weather, and Michigan's defense make the road game the likely stumble.
3. Alabama
Projected remaining record: 3-0. Wins at Vanderbilt, vs. Chattanooga, and vs. Auburn. Easiest remaining schedule in the field; Iron Bowl at Bryant-Denny Stadium heavily favors Alabama.
2. Utah
Projected remaining record: 2-1. Loss at No. 23 Arizona, wins at TCU and vs. West Virginia. Letdown risk after emotional rivalry win, but TCU's struggles and West Virginia's defensive issues allow recovery.
1. Georgia
Projected remaining record: 3-0. Wins vs. No. 22 Missouri, at No. 17 South Carolina, and vs. Georgia Tech. Georgia's recent form suggests a tier above opponents; Missouri's running game unlikely to succeed in Athens.
