SEC rivals Tennessee and Kentucky meet in Week 10 with both teams in the College Football Playoff conversation. Kentucky enters at 7-1 overall and 5-1 in conference play, ranked No. 6 in the initial CFP rankings, while Tennessee sits at 6-2 overall and 3-2 in the SEC, ranked No. 13. The Volunteers hold an 85-26-9 all-time series lead, but this Kentucky squad is considered one of the strongest to visit Knoxville in recent years.
Kickoff is scheduled for 6:15 p.m. ET at Neyland Stadium, where Tennessee will wear its "dark mode" uniforms. The Vols are 6-point favorites with an over/under of 49.5 points; the money line lists Tennessee at -205 and Kentucky at +184.
The SportsLine Projection Model, which has simulated the matchup 10,000 times, leans toward the Under 49.5 points. Tennessee's defense has allowed just 16.3 points per game, ranking third in the SEC, and the Vols are 6-2 to the Under this season, with all three SEC home games finishing under the total by at least two touchdowns. Kentucky has also gone Under in its last two games. The model projects 46 combined points, with the Under hitting in 56% of simulations.
Regarding the spread, the model indicates one side covers in well over 50% of simulations, though the specific pick is available only through SportsLine. The model entered Week 10 on an 80-77 run on top-rated college football picks.
