The UTSA Roadrunners travel to face the Florida Atlantic Owls on Thursday night in an American Athletic Conference matchup at Flagler Credit Union Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET.
UTSA enters the game with a 7-1 overall record and a perfect 4-0 mark in conference play, sitting atop the American Athletic Conference standings. The Roadrunners have won five consecutive games, including a victory over Tulane on October 24, with their only loss coming against then-No. 1 Texas. Florida Atlantic stands at 5-3 overall and 2-2 in conference play, having lost two of its last three games, most recently a 48-41 defeat to North Texas last Thursday.
Series History and Betting Odds
The Owls lead the all-time series 3-2, but UTSA has won the last two meetings. The Roadrunners are 7-point favorites according to the latest odds, with an over/under of 72.5 points — the highest total in Week 10 college football. The money line lists UTSA at -278 and FAU at +225.
Model Predictions
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each game 10,000 times, projects the under on the 72.5-point total, with 63 combined points expected and the under hitting in 71% of simulations. The model notes that UTSA's road games have averaged 46 points compared to 73 at home, and the last four matchups between these teams have averaged 50.3 points. Additionally, FAU has committed six turnovers in its last three games after four straight games without a turnover, a trend that could limit scoring opportunities.
The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations, though the specific side is available only through SportsLine. The model entered Week 10 with an 80-77 record on top-rated college football picks this season.
