The Tennessee Volunteers host the Kentucky Wildcats in a crucial Week 10 SEC matchup at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, Tennessee. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:15 p.m. ET, with the Volunteers set to wear their "dark mode" uniforms. Tennessee enters at 6-2 overall (3-2 SEC) and sits at No. 13 in the initial College Football Playoff rankings, while Kentucky boasts a 7-1 record (5-1 SEC) and is ranked No. 6.
Historically, Tennessee has dominated the series with an 85-26-9 head-to-head record, but this Kentucky squad is considered one of the strongest to visit Knoxville in recent years.
Betting markets list the Volunteers as 6-point favorites, with an over/under of 49.5 points. The money line sits at Tennessee -205 and Kentucky +184.
The SportsLine Projection Model, after simulating the game 10,000 times, projects the total to stay under 49.5 points, a scenario that hits in 56% of simulations. The model forecasts 46 combined points. Tennessee's defense ranks third in the SEC, allowing just 16.3 points per game, and the Volunteers are 6-2 to the under this season, with all three SEC home games finishing under the total by at least two touchdowns. Kentucky has also trended under recently, going under in its last two games.
The model also indicates one side of the point spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. SportsLine's model entered Week 10 on an 80-77 run on top-rated college football picks.
