The Buffalo Bulls and Miami (Ohio) RedHawks meet Tuesday night in a pivotal Mid-American Conference contest with both teams tied for third place in the league standings. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at Fred C. Yager Stadium in Oxford, Ohio.
Team Records and Recent Form
Buffalo enters at 5-3 overall and 3-1 in MAC play, coming off a 31-24 victory over Bowling Green on October 24. The Bulls are 1-2 on the road this season. Miami also stands at 5-3 overall and 3-1 in conference after a 28-27 win over Central Michigan on the same day. The RedHawks have won three consecutive games and hold a 3-1 record at home in 2026.
Game Details and Odds
Miami is a 6-point favorite with an over/under set at 44.5 points. The money line lists Miami at -225 and Buffalo at +190. Against the spread, Miami is 4-4 while Buffalo is 3-5.
Model Predictions and Key Projections
An advanced projection model that simulates each FBS game 10,000 times favors the over on the 44.5-point total. The over has hit in six of the last ten head-to-head matchups and in six of the last ten games for each team. Miami ranks third in the MAC in scoring at 27 points per game, while Buffalo averages 22.6 points per game, sixth in the conference. The model projects a combined 50 points, with the over hitting in 64% of simulations.
Quarterback projections show Buffalo's Jason Wright throwing for more than 175 yards and one touchdown; he has accumulated 987 yards and seven touchdowns on the season. Miami's Caleb Heavner is projected to exceed 215 passing yards and two touchdowns. The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations, though the specific side is not publicly disclosed.
Model Track Record
The projection model entered Week 10 on an 80-77 run on all top-rated college football picks, suggesting strong historical returns for followers.
