The Buffalo Bulls and Miami (Ohio) RedHawks meet Tuesday night in a key Mid-American Conference matchup with both teams tied at 5-3 overall and 3-1 in conference play.
Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET at Fred C. Yager Stadium in Oxford, Ohio. Miami enters on a three-game winning streak and is 3-1 at home in 2026, while Buffalo is 1-2 on the road.
The RedHawks are 6-point favorites with an over/under of 44.5 points. The money line lists Miami at -225 and Buffalo at +190. Miami is 4-4 against the spread this season, while Buffalo is 3-5 ATS.
The SportsLine Projection Model, after simulating the game 10,000 times, leans toward the Over 44.5 points, a side that holds 64% value. The Over has hit in six of the last 10 head-to-head matchups and in six of the last 10 games for each team. Miami averages 27 points per game, third in the MAC, while Buffalo averages 22.6 points, sixth in the conference.
Buffalo quarterback Jason Wright is projected to throw for more than 175 yards and one touchdown; he has 987 yards and seven touchdowns on the season. Miami quarterback Caleb Heavner is projected to throw for over 215 yards and two scores. The model projects a combined 50 points.
In addition to the total, the model indicates one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. The model entered Week 10 on an 80-77 run on top-rated college football picks.
