As the NFL heads into Week 9 of the 2026 season, bettors are eyeing a six-leg longshot parlay from SportsLine's proven computer simulation that could return well over $1.5 million on a $10 wager. The model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, enters the week on a 60-51 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024 and has generated more than $5,000 in profit for $100 players since its inception.
One notable trend involves the Los Angeles Chargers, who have lost 10 consecutive games but have scored on their opening drive in six straight contests as home underdogs. This Sunday they are 4.5-point home underdogs against the Houston Texans. Odds for a Chargers first-drive touchdown sit at +353, a passing score at +546, a rushing touchdown at +1020, and a field goal at +402.
Other home underdogs this week include the Indianapolis Colts (+5.5) versus the Dallas Cowboys, the Miami Dolphins (+6.5) against the Detroit Lions, and the Minnesota Vikings (+3) versus the Buffalo Bills on Monday night. These matchups provide additional legs for a multi-game parlay.
Among the model's highlighted picks is Detroit Lions wide receiver Jameson Williams to record 70+ receiving yards versus the Dolphins at +200. Williams has averaged 77.5 yards over his last four games, surpassing 70 yards in three of them — all against top-10 pass defenses. Miami's defense allows the highest passer rating, highest completion percentage, most passing yards per attempt, and the fewest sacks in the league, while also yielding 70+ yards to a wide receiver in each of the past three weeks. Although the Dolphins are stout against the run (3.8 yards per carry allowed), the model projects a pass-heavy approach from Detroit, with Williams expected to finish around 72 yards.
The full six-leg parlay also includes five additional Week 9 selections, among them two touchdown-scorer props each returning over +1200. The complete picks and parlay details are available exclusively through SportsLine.
