The Denver Nuggets will face the Indiana Pacers in the 2026 NBA Mexico City Game on Saturday at Arena CDMX, marking the 16th NBA regular-season game played in Mexico and the only one scheduled for the 2026-27 season. Tipoff is set for 5 p.m. ET.
Denver enters with a 4-3 record, while Indiana sits at 3-6. The Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton (hamstring), while T.J. McConnell (hamstring) and Kelly Oubre Jr. (calf) are listed as questionable.
The Nuggets are 7.5-point favorites with an over/under of 228.5 points. The SportsLine Projection Model, which has simulated the matchup 10,000 times, projects the total to go Over. The model has returned nearly $19,000 in profit for $100 players on top-rated NBA picks since 2018 and enters Week 3 on a 26-11 (70%) run on spread picks.
Denver averages 115.4 points per game and has hit the Over in four of seven games this season, including two of the last three. Indiana upset the Grizzlies on the road in its previous game. The two teams averaged 236 combined points in their two meetings last season.
The model projects Nikola Jokic to score 26.1 points, Jamal Murray 22.8 points, and Pascal Siakam to lead Indiana with 21.9 points. The simulation forecasts 238 combined points, with the Over hitting in 62% of simulations. The model also indicates one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations.
The game will be streamed on Fubo.
