The Green Bay Packers and New England Patriots, both 5-3 after Week 8 victories, meet Sunday at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET.
Quarterback Jordan Love threw three touchdown passes in Green Bay's Thursday night win over Carolina, while Patriots rookie Drake Maye also tossed three TDs in a 24-19 victory at Miami. Love has topped 270 passing yards in four of the Packers' last five games, with receivers Christian Watson and Matthew Golden combining for 15 catches, 192 yards and a touchdown in Week 8. Watson suffered a broken rib but returned to the game. Running back Josh Jacobs added 52 yards and two scores. Green Bay's defense sacked Bryce Young six times and has not allowed more than 20 points in any of the past five games.
New England has won three straight at home and is 9-3 at Gillette Stadium since the start of last season. Maye has averaged 279.6 passing yards with 14 touchdowns and only two interceptions over his last five starts. The Patriots feature five pass-catchers with at least 200 receiving yards, and running back Rhamondre Stevenson has 579 total yards and three touchdowns. New England's defense has 22 sacks, led by Elijah Ponder with six.
According to DraftKings Sportsbook, the Patriots are 3-point home favorites with an over/under of 46.5 points (later listed as 44.5). The money line sits at Packers +142, Patriots -170. Green Bay is 5-3 against the spread overall and 2-2 ATS on the road; New England is 3-4-1 ATS and 2-1 ATS at home. Six of the Packers' eight games have gone under the total, while five of the Patriots' eight have gone over.
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each game 10,000 times, gives Green Bay a 49% win probability as an underdog and projects the Packers covering the spread 53% of the time. SportsLine NFL expert R.J. White also backs Green Bay to cover, noting that New England's offensive surge has come against weak defenses and that Love's supporting cast gives the Packers an edge.
