The Cincinnati Bengals and Atlanta Falcons meet in Madrid on Sunday at 9:30 a.m. ET for an NFL Week 9 international matchup. Prediction market platform Kalshi lists the Bengals as clear favorites, with a win probability of 62% (price $0.62) compared to 38% for the Falcons ($0.38).
Cincinnati has won three consecutive games, scoring at least 31 points in each, while Atlanta has lost three of its last four, including a 16-0 shutout against Tampa Bay. The SportsLine Projection Model simulates a Bengals victory at a 53% rate. Key injury news includes Falcons running back Brian Robinson Jr. ruled out with a hamstring injury, while pass rusher James Pearce Jr. returns from suspension for Atlanta.
On the spread market, Bengals to win by more than 3.5 points trades at $0.46 (yes) and $0.55 (no). The over/under for total points is set at 52.5, with the over at $0.51 and the under at $0.50. Cincinnati's offense, led by Joe Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase, and Tee Higgins, faces a Falcons defense that ranks below average against the pass. Atlanta's offense, with quarterback Michael Penix Jr. and wide receiver Drake London, will look to exploit a Bengals defense that has conceded the seventh-most yards per game.
Kalshi is offering a $55 bonus for new users who make $25 or more in trades using promo code CBSSPORTS55. The platform notes that prediction markets are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and involve risk of substantial loss; participation may be restricted in certain jurisdictions.
