Canelo Alvarez will face Christian Mbilli for the WBC super middleweight title in a 12-round bout on Saturday at Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, streamed on DAZN pay-per-view.
Alvarez (63-3-2, 39 KOs) aims to regain the title he lost to Terence Crawford by unanimous decision on September 13, 2025. Mbilli (29-0-1, 24 KOs) holds the WBC interim super middleweight title, winning it in June 2025 with a first-round knockout of Maciej Sulecki and retaining it via split-decision draw against Lester Martinez on September 13, 2025.
Betting Odds
Alvarez enters as a -320 favorite (wager $320 to win $100), while Mbilli is priced at +230 (wager $100 to win $230). The over/under for total rounds is 10.5 (-475/+300), and the favored method of victory is Alvarez by KO/TKO/DQ at +350.
Expert Predictions
SportsLine boxing analyst Josh Nagel, who correctly predicted Crawford's decision win over Alvarez in September, has released his picks for the fight. Nagel is backing under 11.5 total rounds at +250, noting that four of Mbilli's last six fights ended in six rounds or fewer and Alvarez has 39 early stoppages. Additional money-line and method-of-victory props are available on SportsLine.
