The Chicago Bears (5-2) visit the Seattle Seahawks (4-3) for a Monday Night Football matchup at Lumen Field, with kickoff set for 8:15 p.m. ET. The Bears sit second in the NFC North and are 2-1 on the road this season, while the Seahawks are second in the NFC West and hold a 3-1 home record in 2026.
Injury updates include Bears running back Kyle Monangai (thumb/toe) and Seahawks offensive tackle Charles Cross (ankle) both ruled out. Seattle running back Jadarian Price (chest) has been reinstated from injured reserve and is expected to play.
Seattle enters as a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under of 46.5 points. The money line lists the Seahawks at -170 and the Bears at +150.
Chicago's offense is led by quarterback Caleb Williams, who has completed 71% of his passes for 1,020 yards, five touchdowns and one interception in four starts. The Bears rank eighth in the league in scoring at 25.7 points per game. Seattle counters with quarterback Sam Darnold, who has completed 62.1% of his passes for 1,290 yards, eight touchdowns and eight interceptions in six starts; the Seahawks average 24 points per game, 13th in the NFL.
A proven simulation model that runs 10,000 iterations per game projects the over 46.5 points as the lean, with the over hitting in seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including a 49-point total in the most recent Seattle matchup on Dec. 26, 2021. The model also shows the over hitting in each of Chicago's last two games and projects 49 combined points, with the over cashing in 52% of simulations. Additionally, the model indicates one side of the spread hits in more than 60% of simulations.
Defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons is active for Chicago after being acquired in a trade from the Titans last week.
