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NFL Week 9 Odds and Predictions: Computer Model Simulates 10,000 Games for Best Bets

NFL Week 9 Odds and Predictions: Computer Model Simulates 10,000 Games for Best Bets
World Sports · 17:44:37 - Saturday, 7 November 2026

The Week 9 NFL schedule features several cross-conference matchups that could serve as Super Bowl previews. Notable games include the Bills at Vikings (+3), Patriots vs. Packers (+3), Broncos at Panthers (+2.5), and the Bengals facing the Falcons in Madrid with Cincinnati favored by 3 points. Other heavy favorites include the Chiefs (-8.5 vs. Jets), 49ers (-9.5 vs. Raiders), and Seahawks (-8.5 vs. Cardinals).

SportsLine's advanced computer model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has returned more than $5,000 for $100 players on top-rated picks since its inception. Entering Week 9 of the 2026 season, the model holds a 60-51 record on top-rated picks dating back to 2024.

Among the model's strongest Week 9 picks: the Commanders (+4.5, 47.5) cover at home against the Rams well over 50% of the time. Washington is 3-1 against the spread in games Jayden Daniels has started and finished, leads the NFL in turnover differential at plus-seven, and averages over 140 rushing yards in those starts. The Rams allowed 234 rushing yards to the Bills' mobile quarterback Josh Allen in Week 5 and are just 1-3 against the spread in their last four games in the Eastern Time Zone.

Another key prediction: the Chiefs (-8.5, 48) cover versus the Jets at 1 p.m. ET. Kansas City has covered in both games as favorites of more than a touchdown this season and is 4-1 ATS over the last five such instances. The Jets are 2-4 ATS over their last six games as underdogs of more than a touchdown. Kansas City's No. 5 scoring defense faces New York's No. 25 scoring offense, with the Jets projected to gain just 3.8 yards per carry and Geno Smith expected to throw for under 200 yards.

The model has also locked in four A-rated spread picks for the full Week 9 slate. All updated lines, spreads, and totals for each game are available, including Thursday's Jaguars at Ravens (final: Jaguars 33, Ravens 10) and Monday's Bills at Vikings (BUF -3, 44).

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